Reward Crowdfunding: Who to Attract at the Beginning of the Campaign? An Analysis in Terms of Revealed Networks of Preferences
Abstract
This research study combines the theoretical teachings of revealed preferences, signal theory and weak tie theory to better understand the dynamics at work at the beginning of a campaign and to explain its success. By identifying the revealed preferences of early backers through their common past contributions, we characterize as strong or weak the nature of the complex preference ties between them. We build networks of the contributions made by the individuals identified as early backers to 9,425 campaigns run on the Ulule platform between July 2010 and September 2014. The results of this study underline the importance of the presence of strong preference ties between early backers and other platform users for the success of campaigns. They also corroborate the theory of the strength of weak ties. Later in the campaign, the intervention of backers with less specific preferences, in the position of intermediaries, positively influences the future outcome by accelerating the fundraising speed at the beginning of the campaign.
Downloads
References
Afriat, S. (1967). The construction of a utility function from expenditure data. International Economic Review, 8(1), 67–77. doi: 10.2307/2525382
Agrawal, A., Catalini, C. & Goldfarb, A. (2014). Some simple economics of crowdfunding. Innovation Policy and the Economy, 14(1), 63–97. doi: 10.1086/674021
Agrawal, A., Catalini, C. & Goldfarb, A. (2015). Crowdfunding: Geography, social networks, and the timing of investment decisions. Journal of Economics and Management Strategy, 24(2), 253–274. doi: 10.1111/jems.12093
Allison, T., Davis, B., Short, J. & Webb, J. (2015). Crowdfunding in a prosocial microlending environment: Examining the role of intrinsic versus extrinsic cues. Entrepreneurship Theory and Practice, 39(1), 53–73. doi: 10.1111/etap.12108
Allmayer, S. & Winkler, H. (2013). Interface management research in supplier-customer relationships: Findings from a citation analysis of international literature. Journal of Business Economics, 83(9), 1015–1061. doi: 10.1007/s11573-013-0685-1
Bass, F. (1969). A new product growth model for consumer durables. Management Science, 15(5), 215–227. doi: 10.1287/mnsc.15.5.215
Belleflamme, P., Lambert, T. & Schwienbacher, A. (2014). Crowdfunding: Tapping the right crowd. Journal of Business Venturing, 29(5), 585–609. doi: 10.1016/j.jbusvent.2013.07.003
Beshears, J., Choi, J., Laibson, D. & Madrian, B. (2008). How are preferences revealed? Journal of Public Economics, 92(8–9), 1787–1794. doi: 10.1016/j.jpubeco.2008.04.010
Bœuf, B., Darveau, J. & Legoux, R. (2014). Financing creativity: Crowdfunding as a new approach for theatre projects. International Journal of Arts Management, 16(3), 33–48.
Bommarito II, M., Katz, D., Zelner, J. & Fowler, H. (2010). Distance measures for dynamic citation networks. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 389(19), 4201–4208. doi: 10.1016/j.physa.2010.06.003
Bruton, G., Khavul, S., Siegel, D. & Wright, M. (2015). New financial alternatives in seeding entrepreneurship: Microfinance, crowdfunding, and peer-to-peer innovations. Entrepreneurship Theory and Practice, 39(1), 9–26. doi: 10.1111/etap.12143
Burt, R. (1980). Models of network structure. Annual Reviews of Sociology, 6(1), 79–141. doi: 10.1146/annurev.so.06.080180.000455
Burt, R. (1992). Structural holes: The structure of social capital competition. Cambridge Harvard University Press.
Burt, R., (2004). Structural holes and good ideas. American Journal of Sociology, 110(2), 349–399. doi: 10.1086/421787
Butticè, V., Colombo, G. M. & Wright, M. (2017). Serial crowdfunding, social capital, and project success. Entrepreneurship Theory and Practice, 41(2), 183–207. doi: 10.1111/etap.12271
Calic, G. & Mosakowski, E. (2016). Kicking off social entrepreneurship: How a sustainability orientation influences crowdfunding success. Journal of Management Studies, 53(5), 738–767. doi: 10.1111/joms.12201
Chiong, K. (2015). Essays in social and economic network. Dissertation thesis. Caltech University.
Cholakova, M. & Clarysse, B. (2015). Does the possibility to make equity investments in crowdfunding projects crowd out reward-based investments? Entrepreneurship Theory and Practice, 39(1), 145–172. doi: 10.1111/etap.12139
Colombo, M., Franzoni, C. & Rossi-Lamastra, C. (2015). Internal social capital and the attraction of early contributions in crowdfunding. Entrepreneurship Theory and Practice, 39(1), 75–100. doi: 10.1111/etap.12118
Connelly, B. L., Certo, S. T., Ireland, R. D. & Reutzel, C. R. (2011). Signaling theory: A review and assessment. Journal of Management, 37, 39–67. doi: 10.1177/0149206310388419
Cordova, A., Dolci, J. & Gianfrate, G. (2015), The determinants of crowdfunding success: Evidence from technology projects. Procedia – Social and Behavioral Sciences, 181, 115–124. doi: 10.1016/j.sbspro.2015.04.872
Crawford, I. & De Rock, B. (2014). Empirical revealed preference. Annual Review of Economics, 6, 503–524. doi: 10.1146/annurev-economics-080213-041238
Croidieu, G. & Rüling, C. C. (2017). Complex field-positions and non-imitation: Pioneers, strangers, and insulars in Australian fine-wine. M@n@gement, 20(2), 129–165. doi: 10.3917/mana.202.0129
Cumming, D., Leboeuf, G. & Schwienbacher, A. (2020). Crowdfunding models: Keep-it-all vs all-or-nothing. Financial Management, 49(2), 331–360. doi: 10.1111/fima.12262
De Larquier, G. (1997). Principes des marchés régis par appariement. Revue Economique, 48(6), 1409–1438. doi: 10.3406/reco.1997.409947
De Paula, A., Richards-Shubik, S. & Tamer, E. (2018). Identifying preferences in networks with bounded degree. Econometrica, 86(1), 263–288. doi: 10.3982/ECTA13564
De Solla Price, D. (1965). Networks of scientific papers. Science, 149, 510–515. doi: 10.1126/science.149.3683.510
Dominguez, N., Mayrhofer, U. & Obadia, C. (2017). The antecedents of information exchange in export business networks. M@n@gement, 20(5), 463–491. doi: 10.3917/mana.205.0463
Du, Z., Li, M. & Wang, K. (2019). ‘The more options, the better?’ Investigating the impact of the number of options on backers’ decisions in reward-based crowdfunding projects. Information & Management, 56, 429–444. doi: 10.1016/j.im.2018.08.003
Dubois, S. & Walsh, I. (2017). The globalization of research highlighted through the research networks of management education institutions: The case of French business schools. M@n@gement, 20(5), 435–462. doi: 10.3917/mana.205.0435
Ellis, P. D. (2011). Social ties and international entrepreneurship: Opportunities and constraints affecting firm internationalization. Journal of International Business Studies, 42(1), 99–127. doi: 10.1057/jibs.2010.20
Ferrary, M. (2001). Pour une théorie de l’échange dans les réseaux sociaux. Cahiers Internationaux de Sociologie, 2, 261–290. doi: 10.3917/cis.111.0261
Gee, L., Jones, J., Fariss, C., Burke, M. & Fowler, J. (2017). The paradox of weak ties in 55 countries. Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 133(1), 362–372. doi: 10.1016/j.jebo.2016.12.004
Granovetter, M. (1973). The strength of weak ties. American Journal of Sociology, 78(6), 1360–1380. doi: 10.1086/225469
Granovetter, M. (1983). The strength of weak ties: A network theory revisited. American Sociological Theory, 1(6), 201–233. doi: 10.2307/202051
Granovetter, M. (1995). Getting a job: A study of contacts and careers. The University of Chicago Press Book.
Greenberg, J. & Mollick, E. (2017). Activist choice homophily and crowdfunding of female founders. Administrative Science Quarterly, 62(2), 341–374. doi: 10.1177/0001839216678847
Hakenes, H. & Schlegel, F. (2014). Exploiting the financial wisdom of the crowd – Crowdfunding as a tool to aggregate vague information. Working Paper, SSRN. Retrieved from https://ssrn.com/abstract=2475025
Halaburda, H., Piskorski, M. & Yildirim, P. (2018). Competing by restricting choice: The case of search platforms. Management Science, 64(8), 3574–3594. doi: 10.1287/mnsc.2017.2797
Heider, F. (1946). Attitudes and cognitive organization. The Journal of Psychology, 21(1), 107–112. doi: 10.1080/00223980.1946.9917275
Houthakker, H. S. (1950). Revealed preference and the utility function. Economica, 17, 159–174. doi: 10.2307/2549382
Hu, Y. (2006). Efficient and high-quality force-directed graph drawing. The Mathematica Journal, 10(1), 37–71.
Jackson, M. (2008). Social and economic networks. Princeton Press.
Kim, P. H., Buffart, M. & Croidieu, G. (2016). TMI: Signaling credible claims in crowdfunding campaign narratives. Group & Organization Management, 41(6), 717–750. doi: 10.1177/1059601116651181
Kuppuswamy, V. & Bayus, B. (2017). Does my contribution matter? An analysis of the kickstarter crowdfunding community. Journal of Business Venturing, 32(1), 72–89. doi: 10.1016/j.jbusvent.2016.10.004
Lin, N. (2001). Social capital: A theory of social structure and action. Cambridge University Press.
Mayer, A. (2012). The structure of social networks and labour market success. Applied Economics Letters, 19(13), 1271–1274. doi: 10.1080/13504851.2011.619484
Medo, M. (2013). Network-based information: Itering algorithms ranking and recommendation. In A. Mukherjee et al. (Eds.), Dynamics on and of complex networks (Vol. 2, pp. 315–334). Birkhäuser.
Mollick, E. (2014). The dynamics of crowdfunding: An exploratory study. Journal of Business Venturing, 29(1), 1–16. doi: 10.1016/j.jbusvent.2013.06.005
Mollick, E. & Nanda, R. (2015). Wisdom or madness? Comparing crowds with expert evaluation in funding the arts. Management Science, 62(6), 1533–1553. doi: 10.1287/mnsc.2015.2207
Mongin, P. (2000). Les préférences révélées et la formation de la théorie du consommateur. Revue Economique, 51(5), 1125–1152. doi: 10.3406/reco.2000.410576
Moureau, N. & Vidal, M. (2009). Quand préférences déclarées et révélées s’opposent : le téléspectateur, un cas paradoxal pour l’économiste. Revue Française de Socio-Économie, 2(4), 199–218. doi: 10.3917/rfse.004.0199
Newman, M. (2001a). Scientific collaboration networks. I. Network construction and fundamental results. Physical Review E, 64(1), 016131, 1–8. doi: 10.1103/PhysRevE.64.016131
Newman, M. (2001b). Scientific collaboration networks. II. Shortest paths, weighted networks and centrality. Physical Review E, 64(1), 016132, 1–7. doi: 10.1103/PhysRevE.64.016132
Ordanini, A., Miceli, L., Pizzetti, M. & Parasuraman, A. (2011). Crowdfunding: Transforming customers into investors through innovative service platforms. Journal of Service Management, 22(4), 443–470. doi: 10.1108/09564231111155079
Petitjean, M. (2018). What explains the success of reward-based crowdfunding campaigns as they unfold? Evidence from the French crowdfunding platform KissKissBankBank. Finance Research Letters, 26, 9–14. doi: 10.1016/j.frl.2017.11.005
Pinski, G & Narin, F. (1976). Citation influence of journal aggregates of scientific publications: Theory, with application to the literature of physics. Information Processing and Management, 12(5), 297–312. doi: 10.1016/0306-4573(76)90048-0
Roth, A. & Sotomayor, M. (1992). Two-sided matching. In R. Aumann & S. Hart (Eds.), Handbook of game theory (Vol. 1, pp. 485–541). Elsevier.
Statista (2019), Market size of crowdfunding worldwide in 2019 and 2026 (in billion U.S. dollars), Crowdfunding.
Samuelson, P. A. (1938). A note on the pure theory of consumer’s behaviour. Economica, 5, 61–71. doi: 10.2307/2548836
Samuelson, P. A. (1948). Consumption Theory in terms of revealed Preference. Economica, 15(60), 243–253. doi: 10.2307/2549561
Sanders, W. G. & Boivie, S. (2004). Sorting things out: Valuation of new firms in uncertain markets. Strategic Management Journal, 25, 167–186. doi: 10.1002/smj.370
Short, J. C., Ketchen, D. J. Jr., McKenny, A. F., Allison, T. H. et al. (2017). Research on crowdfunding: Reviewing the (very recent) past and celebrating the present. Entrepreneurship Theory and Practice, 41(2), 149–160. doi: 10.1111/etap.12270
Shymko, Y. & Roulet, T. J. (2017). When does Medici hurt da Vinci? Mitigating the signaling effect of extraneous stakeholder relationships in the field of cultural production. Academy of Management Journal, 60(4), 1307–1338. doi: 10.5465/amj.2015.0464
Spence, M. (1973). Job market signaling. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 87, 355–374. doi: 10.2307/1882010
Stiglitz, J. E. (2000). The contributions of the economics of information to twentieth century economics. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 115, 1441–1478. doi: 10.1162/003355300555015
Uzzi, B. (1997). Social structure and competition in interfirm networks: The paradox of embeddedness. Administrative Science Quarterly, 42(1), 35–67. doi: 10.2307/2393808
Varian, H. (2006). Revealed preference. In M. Szenberg, L. Ramrattan A. & A. Gottesman (Eds.), Samuelsonian economics and the twenty-first century (pp. 99–115). Oxford University Press.
Vasudeva, G., Nachum, L. & Say, G. D. (2018). A signaling theory of institutional activism: How Norway’s sovereign wealth fund investments affect firms’ foreign acquisitions. Academy of Management Journal, 61(4), 1583–1611. doi: 10.5465/amj.2015.1141
Yu, F., Zeng, A., Gillard, S. & Medo, M. (2016). Network-based recommendation algorithms: A review. Phyisica A: Mechanics and its Applications, 452(15), 192–208. doi: 10.1016/j.physa.2016.02.021
Zheng, H., Li, D., Wu, J. & Xu, Y. (2014). The role of multidimensional social capital in crowdfunding: A comparative study in China and US. Information & Management, 51(4), 488–496. doi: 10.1016/j.im.2014.03.003
Copyright (c) 2021 Karima Bouaiss, Ludovic Vigneron
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.
Authors retain copyright of their work, with first publication rights granted to the AIMS.